MEXICO Increasing violence in celebrity retreat of Los Cabos shows criminal influence spreading to previously unaffected tourist areas

Mexico

Increasing violence in celebrity retreat of Los Cabos shows criminal influence spreading to previously unaffected tourist areas

Three men were shot dead on 6 August during a daylight attack by five gunmen at a beach in Los Cabos, a high-end resort corridor frequented by George Clooney and other Hollywood celebrities in the Pacific coast state of Baja California Sur. The shootout, which apparently targeted a rival gang, sent tourists fleeing in panic before police evacuated the beach. Previously, on 9 July, three people were found shot dead in a car abandoned in a hotel car park in the town of Cabo San Lucas. In addition, in June a forensics team disinterred sixteen bodies from scrubland behind a beach in Los Cabos.

Baja California Sur – a state which has historically had one of the country’s lowest crime rates – has seen a dramatic rise in murders during the last year. For instance, 252 murders were recorded in January-June, a 342 percent increase on the same period of last year. Police believe that these incidents reflect increased competition between rival gangs attempting to establish dominance over a new drugs trafficking route from other parts of the country to the US through Baja California Sur. The two groups vying for control of the route appear to be the CJNG and one of the rival factions of the Sinaloa cartel.

This crime surge in Baja California Sur follows a similar phenomenon in Riviera Maya, the more popular resort corridor in the Caribbean coastal state of Quintana Roo. Since the start of this year dozens of people have been killed – including several foreigners – in the towns of Cancun and Playa del Carmen, as a result of shootouts among rival gang members, also linked to the CJNG and the Sinaloa cartel, and between these and police. Quintana Roo recorded 134 murders in January-June, up 106 percent on last year.

Both sets of figures are part of a broader trend of rising violent crime which has progressively affected most of the country’s 32 states over the past two years. Nationwide, 2,234 murders were recorded in June, a 36 percent increase on last year and the highest monthly total since data began to be collated countrywide in 1997. The June figure brought the first-half total to 12,155. Most analysts attribute the increase to a more pronounced fracturing of previously dominant crime groups, inadequate public security policies, and failings in the criminal justice system.

Despite the rising trend however, and the high level of violence in certain states such as Guerrero and Sinaloa, the national figure still leaves Mexico’s annualised murder rate below those of Brazil, Venezuela, Colombia, El Salvador and Honduras. However, the trends in Baja California Sur and Quintana Roo show that, within the country, inter-gang turf wars are spreading geographically, including into tourism-dependent areas once considered off-limits. This has already happened, for example, in Guerrero State’s Acapulco, whose tourism sector has been decimated since 2011 by gang violence.

Therefore, if crime in Baja California Sur evolves similarly to that in Quintana Roo, which seems likely, businesses in towns such as Cabo San Lucas are likely to increasingly become the targets of related crimes, such as extortion, in the coming months. The Government of President Enrique Pena Nieto is acutely aware of the economic impact if rising crime in such areas begins to deter tourists, and this is likely to prompt it to despatch Federal Police and military reinforcements to Baja California Sur over the next few weeks. However, similar policies have so far had only a very limited impact in the Riviera Maya, meaning that foreign visitors to Los Cabos, along with any businesses there, will likely be increasingly exposed to direct and collateral security risks over the coming few months.



8 Responses

Sandra
Sandra

March 06, 2025

Having lived there for 7 years, I can say—yes, it is bloody dangerous. If you have been and nothing happened, that is great. Enjoy the memories. By the way, I lived there before the whole cartel thing exploded, so it was not as “dangerous” as now. But saying that, so many student disappeared. Raped, robbed, murdered, buried or burned. My parents are from Europe and wanted me to experience the real Mexico so went to a Spanish speaking school. I heard of all these killings and violence acts. But it is not the same unless it happens to you. Then the perspective changes. It is a shame for the good people who live there. I was lucky to survive, but the scars remain and it made me stronger and wiser. Have I been back? Hell no.

Tony Iavarroni
Tony Iavarroni

February 13, 2025

you go to mexico at your own peril. the entire country is corrupted, the government is either on the “payroll” of the gangs or in fear turn a blind eye to what is going on. Cabo, safer than most places, but don’t be fooled when someone tells you it’s no more dangerous than your own city.

Realist
Realist

January 07, 2024

Don’t get all paranoid about going there. It’s more dangerous in your own cities if you go to the wrong place at the wrong times. Stay in resort and tourist areas and you will be totally safe.

Barb
Barb

October 14, 2023

We have a trip planned to Cabo during the Day of the Dead celebration. What is everyone’s opinion?

Larry
Larry

May 22, 2023

I have a trip planned to Cabo in January and I am rethinking my plans.

gregory
gregory

December 09, 2021

Makes me sad, as Cabo is a fun place, and the people are amazing. Like any major city, you have to just be careful and learn things to help keep you from becoming a target. One would think the Cartels would want more tourists, not less.

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